APTIV PLC (APTV) stock analysis
APTIV PLC (APTV) clears 2 of this site's 8 mechanical value filters, 3 of 8 Buffett-style checks and 1 of 5 Lynch-style checks. At $43.81 it trades 52.1% below this site's neutral DCF value (a margin of safety of +52.1%). Its earnings quality rates Strong and it returns +2.8% to shareholders net of dilution. Figures are as of October 23, 2026, from SEC filings and market data refreshed weekly; this is educational analysis, not investment advice.
Data as of October 23, 2026. Refreshed weekly from SEC filings and market data.
What does APTIV do?
Aptiv designs the vehicle wiring, connectors, sensors and software that carry power and data around modern cars.
What stands out about APTIV?
- The share price implies shrinking cash flow. At $43.81, APTV's free cash flow of $5.35 per share would have to shrink 9.8% a year at first, then recover to 2.5% growth by year 10, for this site's DCF (10% discount rate) to match the price. This site's baseline starts at 8% growth, so the price asks for less growth than the baseline. Change the assumptions.
- Misses 3 of the 8 value filters. It fails Market Cap > $25B ($9.2B), Trailing P/E < 25 (41.86) and EPS Growth YoY > -5% (-35.1%); the other 2 pass and 3 were not evaluated. See every filter.
- Close to its 52-week low. At $43.81, APTV is 1.8% above its low of $43.02 and 50.6% below its high of $88.67. See the range.
- Insiders have been buying. 6 open-market purchases were reported in SEC Form 4 filings in the last 90 days, about $39.3 million in all. See the Insider Buying Tracker.
- Priced at 41.9 times earnings. Price-to-book is 1.1 and return on equity 2.4%. See the value diligence check.
How has APTIV's share price moved?
The interactive price chart needs JavaScript.
Is APTIV undervalued? The value diligence check
Every value-investing signal this site computes for this stock, gathered in one place: the same real numbers from the tools below, not a new score.
- Margin of safety (DCF) +52.1% Corroborated: an insider bought 6 times in the trailing 90 days (~$39.3M) - real, disclosed Form 4 buying near this price, not proof by itself.
- P/E vs. its own history 41.9x · the middle Real range: 8.6x–101.8x over 5 years (net income per diluted share from each fiscal year's 10-K, paired with the real closing price at that fiscal year-end).
- Wall St. analyst rating Buy · 4.11/5 28 analysts this month: 8 strong buy, 15 buy, 5 hold, 0 sell, 0 strong sell (Finnhub). Up from 4.10 last month.
- Altman Z″-Score (bankruptcy risk) 2.96 · Safe zone
- Earnings quality (is the profit real?) Strong · all 5 checks clean Beneish M-score −2.88 · accruals −8.6% of assets · 133% of profit arrived as cash · stock comp 0.7% of revenue · share count −11.7% a year. From the latest 10-K (year to Dec 2025) - see the Earnings Quality Screener for how each check is scored.
- Shareholder yield (cash back to owners) +2.8% net Latest fiscal year (2025): dividends 0.0% + buybacks 4.3% − stock comp 1.5%, as a share of today's market cap. Over 14 years its split-adjusted share count fell 48%. See Shareholder Yield Leaders.
- Capital needed to grow (See's test) $119.11 per $1 of new profit · Capital-hungry · but only 12% return on capital Operating profit $1.5B → $1.5B, capital needed $6.7B → $13B, 2016–2025 (3-year averages); return on capital now 12% before tax. Buffett's See's Candies needed $0.42 per $1 of new profit, FlightSafety $3.20, a typical grower about $5. See Capital-Light Compounders.
- PEG (growth at a reasonable price) n/a (no PEG reported)
- Compounder lenses (4) 2 of 4 · misses capital-light, price (n/a) Capital-light growth: not cleared (profit grew 1.0×, under 2×); Profit is real: cleared; Cash to owners: cleared; Fair price (PEG): cannot be measured (no PEG reported). See Compounders at a Fair Price, which also lets you move the PEG bar.
- Value trap check Flagged (3/6 filters failed)
- Munger's Inversion Check 1 flag
What would Buffett & Lynch say?
Buffett's checklist is built around durable, profitable businesses bought at sensible prices, and APTV doesn't clear enough of it yet. In its favor: APTV and has kept that profitability up over five years, not just this year, is trading below what a conservative discounted-cash-flow estimate says it's worth - his own "price is what you pay, value is what you get" test, not a fixed multiple ceiling, and trades at a reasonable multiple of owner earnings, his own term for the real cash a business could pay out. Where it comes up short: APTV isn't clearing the return-on-equity bar he'd want to see right now, carries more debt relative to equity than he typically tolerates, runs thinner pretax margins than he'd like to see, hasn't grown earnings per share fast enough over five years to impress him, and doesn't cover its interest expense as comfortably as he'd want.
- ROE (TTM) > 11% ✕
- ROE (5yr avg) > 11% ✓
- Debt/Equity < 0.5 ✕
- Pretax margin > 15% ✕
- EPS growth (5yr) > 7% ✕
- Interest coverage > 5x ✕
- Trading below intrinsic value (DCF) ✓
- Price vs. owner earnings < 25x ✓
- Bonus: returning capital via buybacks FY2025
Lynch looked for growth stories that weren't overpriced for that growth, and APTV falls short of his bar. In its favor: APTV converts earnings into real cash at a reasonable price. Where it comes up short: APTV doesn't pay much of a dividend, which is the main reason to own a slow grower in the first place, isn't even growing at the modest pace he'd expect from a slow grower, carries more debt than he liked to see, even allowing for the extra room a large, stable business gets, and is priced too rich for how little growth is actually left in the business.
- Dividend yield > 2.5% ✕
- EPS growth 0%-10% ✕
- Debt/Equity < 0.6 ✕
- P/E < 20 ✕
- Price/FCF < 25 ✓
- Bonus: insiders buying (90d) 6 buys, ~$39.3M
Quantitative approximations of each investor's documented approach, not endorsed by either investor or their estates - commentary, not this site's actual ranking criteria. Buffett never published a numeric checklist: only 2 of his 8 checks here trace to his own documented concepts ("owner earnings," from his 1986 shareholder letter, and "price is what you pay, value is what you get," his case against fixed P/E/P/B ceilings) - the other 6 (ROE, debt, margins, growth, interest coverage) use commonly-cited thresholds that are not numbers he himself published. The 8 hard filters below (plus the Munger check and Graham margin of safety) are this site's real, mechanical screen and are computed completely independently of the checklists above.
Berkshire Hathaway's own filing
Which of the 8 value filters does APTIV pass?
- Market Cap > $25B $9.2B
- Trailing P/E < 25 41.86
- PEG Ratio < 1.5 n/a
- Price/Book < 8 1.05
- Price/Sales < 7 0.49
- EPS Growth YoY > -5% -35.1%
- vs 50-day MA (±12%) Not evaluated †
- vs 200-day MA (±12%) Not evaluated †
What is APTIV's margin of safety?
History tracking starts this week - check back in a future week to see how this has moved.
Where is APTIV in its 52-week range?
What is the short interest in APTIV?
9,242,390 shares short as of 2026-09-30 (FINRA settlement date). Reported twice a month, so this only changes roughly every two weeks, not daily. This period's change looks like a stock split, not a real shift in short positions - share counts aren't split-adjusted at the source.
What could go wrong with APTIV? Munger's inversion check
"Invert, always invert." Instead of reasons to buy, these are reasons to hesitate, not a verdict, and not everything worth knowing about a business.
- Margin of safety, even in the bull case +72%
- Short interest under 5% of float 4.5%
- Passes most of the 6 fundamental filters 3/6 passed
- Price run-up backed by value, not just momentum +2% off 52wk low
- Debt/equity stable since 2016 1.65 → 0.82
Doesn't cover circle of competence, management quality, or accounting concerns: those need judgment, not data.
How much have APTIV shareholders gained per year?
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
An earnings-based proxy, not a stock-price total return - it doesn't capture multiple expansion/contraction or reinvested dividends. EPS from APTV's own 10-K filings; dividend yield is the current trailing yield on today's price, from the same weekly fetch as the rest of this site.
What do APTIV's 10-year financials show?
From APTV's own 10-K filings (SEC EDGAR): up to the last 10 fiscal years. Press any year's bars for the exact figures.
Frequently asked questions about APTIV
What kind of company is APTIV?
Aptiv designs the vehicle wiring, connectors, sensors and software that carry power and data around modern cars. This site groups it with Auto Components stocks.
Is APTIV trading above or below its DCF value?
At $43.81, APTV trades 52.1% below this site's neutral DCF value of $91.40 per share, a margin of safety of +52.1%. That DCF projects free cash flow for 10 years, with growth starting at 8% and fading to 2.5%, discounted at 10%; it is one set of assumptions, not a forecast. Test your own in the Intrinsic Value Calculator.
How many of this site's 8 value filters does APTIV pass?
APTV passes 2 of 8. It passes Price/Book < 8 (1.05) and Price/Sales < 7 (0.49). It misses Market Cap > $25B ($9.2B), Trailing P/E < 25 (41.86) and EPS Growth YoY > -5% (-35.1%). PEG Ratio < 1.5, vs 50-day MA (±12%) and vs 200-day MA (±12%) were not evaluated, because the moving-average checks only run on stocks that clear the fundamentals first. The 8-filter list shows every stock that passes all of them.
Where is APTIV trading compared with its 52-week range?
At $43.81, APTV trades 2.3% above its 52-week low of $43.02 and 50.6% below its 52-week high of $88.67. The Near 52-Week Low list tracks stocks in that position.
Are APTIV's insiders buying its shares?
Yes: 6 open-market insider purchases of APTIV shares, worth about $39.3 million in total, were reported in SEC Form 4 filings in the 90 days up to this page's last update. Only open-market purchases count here, not option exercises or stock awards. See the Insider Buying Tracker.
When does APTIV report earnings next?
APTIV's next earnings report is expected on November 3, 2026 before the market opens, with analysts expecting earnings of $1.35 per share. Dates come from the Finnhub earnings calendar and can move. In its last 4 quarters it beat the estimate 3 times, by an average of +8.5%.
Where do these numbers come from?
- Financial statements: APTIV's 10-K annual report for the year ended Dec 31, 2025, filed Feb 6, 2026 (filing index). Every earlier year in the 10-year financials comes from the company's older 10-K filings, all listed on SEC EDGAR.
- Prices and market data: quotes, P/E and analyst ratings from Finnhub; daily price history and the 52-week range from Twelve Data, both refreshed weekly. Short interest comes from FINRA, reported twice a month.
- How to check a figure: click any number in the card above to see its exact source, and read the Editorial Standards for every rule behind the checks.
About this APTIV PLC analysis
This page shows every value-investing check the site runs on APTIV PLC (APTV) in one place: the 8 mechanical filters, the Buffett and Lynch checklists, a margin of safety from a disclosed DCF, earnings quality, shareholder yield and how it ranks against its sector peers. The numbers come from SEC filings and public market data, refreshed weekly, and the same rules apply to every stock on the stock list. See Editorial Standards for the sources and the rules, or run your own filters in the stock screener.