Expeditors International of Washington Inc (EXPD) stock analysis
Expeditors International of Washington Inc (EXPD) clears 3 of this site's 8 mechanical value filters, 4 of 8 Buffett-style checks and 3 of 5 Lynch-style checks. At $196.19 it trades 61.3% above this site's neutral DCF value (a margin of safety of -61.3%). Its earnings quality rates Strong and it returns +3.2% to shareholders net of dilution. Figures are as of October 23, 2026, from SEC filings and market data refreshed weekly; this is educational analysis, not investment advice.
Data as of October 23, 2026. Refreshed weekly from SEC filings and market data.
What does Expeditors International of Washington do?
Expeditors International arranges air and ocean freight, customs clearance and other logistics services for importers and exporters.
What stands out about Expeditors International of Washington?
- The share price implies 20.2% yearly growth. At $196.19, EXPD's free cash flow of $7.12 per share would have to grow 20.2% a year, fading to 2.5% by year 10, for this site's DCF (10% discount rate) to match the price. This site's baseline starts at 8%, so the price asks for more growth than the baseline. Change the assumptions.
- Misses 3 of the 8 value filters. It fails Trailing P/E < 25 (27.70), PEG Ratio < 1.5 (2.27) and Price/Book < 8 (12.01); the other 3 pass and 2 were not evaluated. See every filter.
- Close to its 52-week high. At $196.19, EXPD is within 1.2% of its high of $198.64, 73.4% above its low of $113.13. See the range.
- Strongest against peers: return on equity. At 41% (peer median 25%) it ranks 1st of 13 among transportation stocks this site tracks. See the ranking.
- Weakest against peers: dividend yield. At 0.82% (peer median 1.62%) it ranks 9th of 11 among transportation stocks this site tracks. See the ranking.
How has Expeditors International of Washington's share price moved?
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Is Expeditors International of Washington undervalued? The value diligence check
Every value-investing signal this site computes for this stock, gathered in one place: the same real numbers from the tools below, not a new score.
- Margin of safety (DCF) -61.3%
- P/E vs. its own history 27.7x · at/above its priciest point Real range: 12.6x–25.4x over 5 years (net income per diluted share from each fiscal year's 10-K, paired with the real closing price at that fiscal year-end).
- Wall St. analyst rating Hold · 2.83/5 23 analysts this month: 2 strong buy, 1 buy, 13 hold, 5 sell, 2 strong sell (Finnhub).
- Altman Z″-Score (bankruptcy risk) 6.37 · Safe zone
- Earnings quality (is the profit real?) Strong · all 5 checks clean Beneish M-score −2.63 · accruals −4.1% of assets · 117% of profit arrived as cash · stock comp 0.6% of revenue · share count −4.8% a year. From the latest 10-K (year to Dec 2025) - see the Earnings Quality Screener for how each check is scored.
- Shareholder yield (cash back to owners) +3.2% net Latest fiscal year (2025): dividends 0.8% + buybacks 2.6% − stock comp 0.3%, as a share of today's market cap. Over 14 years its split-adjusted share count fell 37%. See Shareholder Yield Leaders.
- Capital needed to grow (See's test) None needed · capital fell while profit grew Operating profit $722M → $1.0B, capital needed $928M → $921M, 2016–2025 (3-year averages); return on capital now 110% before tax. Buffett's See's Candies needed $0.42 per $1 of new profit, FlightSafety $3.20, a typical grower about $5. See Capital-Light Compounders.
- PEG (growth at a reasonable price) 2.27 · Well above fair P/E 27.7× ÷ 12.2% a year of growth behind it. 255th lowest of 447 stocks with a usable PEG. Lynch's fair value is a PEG of 1; a very high PEG usually means almost no growth, a very low one a profit spike. See PEG Ratio Ranking.
- Compounder lenses (4) 2 of 4 · misses capital-light, price Capital-light growth: not cleared (profit grew 1.4×, under 2×); Profit is real: cleared; Cash to owners: cleared; Fair price (PEG): not cleared (PEG 2.27, over 1.5). See Compounders at a Fair Price, which also lets you move the PEG bar.
- Value trap check Clear
- Munger's Inversion Check 2 flags
- Standing vs. sector peers 3 of 7 measures above the median Compared with the 12 other transportation stocks this site tracks: 2 in the top third, 3 in the bottom third.
- Dividend payout sustainability 0/6 · clean
How does Expeditors International of Washington compare with its peers?
3 of 7 measures sit above the median of the 12 other transportation stocks tracked here, 2 in the top third and 3 in the bottom third.
- P/E ratiolower is cheaper · peer median 23.9× 27.7× ✕10th of 13
- Free-cash-flow yieldhigher is cheaper · peer median 5.2% 3.6% ✕10th of 13
- Return on equityhigher is better · peer median 25% 41% ✓1st of 13
- Net marginhigher is better · peer median 5.5% 7.6% –6th of 13
- Revenue growthhigher is better, year on year · peer median 6.8% 6.8% –7th of 13
- Debt / equitylower is safer · peer median 0.84 0.00 ✓1st of 13
- Dividend yieldamong dividend payers · peer median 1.62% 0.82% ✕9th of 11
Peers are the stocks this site tracks in the same sector group, not every listed competitor. The bar runs from the weakest peer (left) to the strongest (right); the tick is the middle. Measures that don't apply to a sector (cash-flow yield for banks, debt for financials) are left out.
What would Buffett & Lynch say?
Buffett's checklist is built around durable, profitable businesses bought at sensible prices, and EXPD doesn't clear enough of it yet. In its favor: EXPD is currently earning a strong return on shareholders' equity, and has kept that profitability up over five years, not just this year, carries a conservative amount of debt relative to equity, and has grown earnings per share at a solid clip over five years. Where it comes up short: EXPD runs thinner pretax margins than he'd like to see, doesn't cover its interest expense as comfortably as he'd want, is trading above what a conservative discounted-cash-flow estimate says it's worth right now, and trades rich relative to owner earnings, the real cash the business could pay out.
- ROE (TTM) > 11% ✓
- ROE (5yr avg) > 11% ✓
- Debt/Equity < 0.5 ✓
- Pretax margin > 15% ✕
- EPS growth (5yr) > 7% ✓
- Interest coverage > 5x ✕
- Trading below intrinsic value (DCF) ✕
- Price vs. owner earnings < 25x ✕
- Bonus: returning capital via buybacks FY2025
Lynch looked for growth stories that weren't overpriced for that growth, and EXPD falls short of his bar. In its favor: EXPD is growing earnings at the steady 10-20% pace of a proper Stalwart, isn't over-leveraged for a company of its type, and is backing its growth up with real free cash flow. Where it comes up short: EXPD fails his signature PEG test, he'd call this pricey for the growth on offer, and is asking investors to pay a steep multiple for that growth.
- PEG < 1 ✕
- EPS growth 10%-20% ✓
- Debt/Equity < 0.6 ✓
- P/E < 27 ✕
- Price/FCF < 30 ✓
Quantitative approximations of each investor's documented approach, not endorsed by either investor or their estates - commentary, not this site's actual ranking criteria. Buffett never published a numeric checklist: only 2 of his 8 checks here trace to his own documented concepts ("owner earnings," from his 1986 shareholder letter, and "price is what you pay, value is what you get," his case against fixed P/E/P/B ceilings) - the other 6 (ROE, debt, margins, growth, interest coverage) use commonly-cited thresholds that are not numbers he himself published. The 8 hard filters below (plus the Munger check and Graham margin of safety) are this site's real, mechanical screen and are computed completely independently of the checklists above.
Berkshire Hathaway's own filing
Which of the 8 value filters does Expeditors International of Washington pass?
- Market Cap > $25B $25.4B
- Trailing P/E < 25 27.70
- PEG Ratio < 1.5 2.27
- Price/Book < 8 12.01
- Price/Sales < 7 2.11
- EPS Growth YoY > -5% +50.8%
- vs 50-day MA (±12%) Not evaluated †
- vs 200-day MA (±12%) Not evaluated †
What is Expeditors International of Washington's margin of safety?
History tracking starts this week - check back in a future week to see how this has moved.
Where is Expeditors International of Washington in its 52-week range?
What is the short interest in Expeditors International of Washington?
4,369,302 shares short as of 2026-09-30 (FINRA settlement date). Reported twice a month, so this only changes roughly every two weeks, not daily.
What could go wrong with Expeditors International of Washington? Munger's inversion check
"Invert, always invert." Instead of reasons to buy, these are reasons to hesitate, not a verdict, and not everything worth knowing about a business.
- Margin of safety, even in the bull case +5%
- Short interest under 5% of float 3.4%
- Passes most of the 6 fundamental filters 3/6 passed
- Price run-up backed by value, not just momentum +73% off 52wk low
Doesn't cover circle of competence, management quality, or accounting concerns: those need judgment, not data.
How much have Expeditors International of Washington shareholders gained per year?
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
An earnings-based proxy, not a stock-price total return - it doesn't capture multiple expansion/contraction or reinvested dividends. EPS from EXPD's own 10-K filings; dividend yield is the current trailing yield on today's price, from the same weekly fetch as the rest of this site.
What do Expeditors International of Washington's 10-year financials show?
From EXPD's own 10-K filings (SEC EDGAR): up to the last 10 fiscal years. Press any year's bars for the exact figures.
Frequently asked questions about Expeditors International of Washington
What kind of company is Expeditors International of Washington?
Expeditors International arranges air and ocean freight, customs clearance and other logistics services for importers and exporters. This site groups it with Logistics & Transportation stocks.
Is Expeditors International of Washington trading above or below its DCF value?
At $196.19, EXPD trades 61.3% above this site's neutral DCF value of $121.63 per share, a margin of safety of −61.3%. That DCF projects free cash flow for 10 years, with growth starting at 8% and fading to 2.5%, discounted at 10%; it is one set of assumptions, not a forecast. Test your own in the Intrinsic Value Calculator.
How many of this site's 8 value filters does Expeditors International of Washington pass?
EXPD passes 3 of 8. It passes Market Cap > $25B ($25.4B), Price/Sales < 7 (2.11) and EPS Growth YoY > -5% (+50.8%). It misses Trailing P/E < 25 (27.70), PEG Ratio < 1.5 (2.27) and Price/Book < 8 (12.01). vs 50-day MA (±12%) and vs 200-day MA (±12%) were not evaluated, because the moving-average checks only run on stocks that clear the fundamentals first. The 8-filter list shows every stock that passes all of them.
Where is Expeditors International of Washington trading compared with its 52-week range?
At $196.19, EXPD trades 73.0% above its 52-week low of $113.13 and 1.2% below its 52-week high of $198.64.
Is Expeditors International of Washington's P/E ratio high or low compared with its own history?
EXPD trades at 27.7× trailing earnings. At the end of each of its last 5 fiscal years its P/E was between 12.6× and 25.4× (average 19.7×), so today's multiple is at or above the highest of those years. Each year's P/E pairs net income per diluted share from the 10-K with the closing price at that fiscal year-end.
When does Expeditors International of Washington report earnings next?
Expeditors International of Washington's next earnings report is expected on November 3, 2026, with analysts expecting earnings of $2.27 per share. Dates come from the Finnhub earnings calendar and can move. In its last 4 quarters it beat the estimate 3 times, by an average of +14.8%.
Where do these numbers come from?
- Financial statements: Expeditors International of Washington's 10-K annual report for the year ended Dec 31, 2025, filed Feb 25, 2026 (filing index). Every earlier year in the 10-year financials comes from the company's older 10-K filings, all listed on SEC EDGAR.
- Prices and market data: quotes, P/E and analyst ratings from Finnhub; daily price history and the 52-week range from Twelve Data, both refreshed weekly. Short interest comes from FINRA, reported twice a month.
- How to check a figure: click any number in the card above to see its exact source, and read the Editorial Standards for every rule behind the checks.
About this Expeditors International of Washington Inc analysis
This page shows every value-investing check the site runs on Expeditors International of Washington Inc (EXPD) in one place: the 8 mechanical filters, the Buffett and Lynch checklists, a margin of safety from a disclosed DCF, earnings quality, shareholder yield and how it ranks against its sector peers. The numbers come from SEC filings and public market data, refreshed weekly, and the same rules apply to every stock on the stock list. See Editorial Standards for the sources and the rules, or run your own filters in the stock screener.