Exelon Corp (EXC) stock analysis

How has Exelon's share price moved?

Is Exelon undervalued? The value diligence check

Every value-investing signal this site computes for this stock, gathered in one place: the same real numbers from the tools below, not a new score.

• Margin of safety (DCF) n/a (Utilities)
• P/E vs. its own history 16.6x · near the cheap end Real range: 15.3x–22.1x over 5 years (net income per diluted share from each fiscal year's 10-K, paired with the real closing price at that fiscal year-end).
• Wall St. analyst rating Hold · 3.32/5 25 analysts this month: 3 strong buy, 4 buy, 16 hold, 2 sell, 0 strong sell (Finnhub). Up from 3.31 last month.
• Altman Z″-Score (bankruptcy risk) n/a (Utilities)
• Earnings quality (is the profit real?) Strong · all 5 checks clean Beneish M-score −2.44 · accruals −3.1% of assets · 219% of profit arrived as cash · share count +0.7% a year. From the latest 10-K (year to Dec 2025) - see the Earnings Quality Screener for how each check is scored.
• Shareholder yield (cash back to owners) 3.5% gross Latest fiscal year (2025): dividends 3.5% + buybacks 0.0%. Stock comp is not reported in its filings, so no net figure. Over 14 years its split-adjusted share count rose 52%. See Shareholder Yield Leaders.
• Capital needed to grow (See's test) $5.02 per $1 of new profit · Capital-hungry · but only 5% return on capital Operating profit $3.8B → $4.5B, capital needed $83B → $87B, 2016–2025 (3-year averages); return on capital now 5% before tax. Buffett's See's Candies needed $0.42 per $1 of new profit, FlightSafety $3.20, a typical grower about $5. See Capital-Light Compounders.
• PEG (growth at a reasonable price) 1.65 · Above fair P/E 16.6× ÷ 10.1% a year of growth behind it. 185th lowest of 447 stocks with a usable PEG. Lynch's fair value is a PEG of 1; a very high PEG usually means almost no growth, a very low one a profit spike. See PEG Ratio Ranking.
• Compounder lenses (4) 1 of 4 · misses capital-light, cash back (n/a), price Capital-light growth: not cleared (profit grew 1.2×, under 2×); Profit is real: cleared; Cash to owners: cannot be measured (stock comp not reported); Fair price (PEG): not cleared (PEG 1.65, over 1.5). See Compounders at a Fair Price, which also lets you move the PEG bar.
• Munger's Inversion Check 0 flags
• Standing vs. sector peers 2 of 6 measures above the median Compared with the 30 other utilities stocks this site tracks: 2 in the top third, 2 in the bottom third.
• Dividend payout sustainability 1/6 flags

How does Exelon compare with its peers?

2 of 6 measures sit above the median of the 30 other utilities stocks tracked here, 2 in the top third and 2 in the bottom third.

• P/E ratiolower is cheaper · peer median 21.2× 16.6× ✓5th of 31
• Return on equityhigher is better · peer median 10% 10% ✕22nd of 31
• Net marginhigher is better · peer median 14.1% 11.0% ✕26th of 31
• Revenue growthhigher is better, year on year · peer median 7.5% 6.6% –20th of 31
• Debt / equitylower is safer · peer median 1.77 1.77 –16th of 31
• Dividend yieldamong dividend payers · peer median 3.01% 3.61% ✓7th of 31

Peers are the stocks this site tracks in the same sector group, not every listed competitor. The bar runs from the weakest peer (left) to the strongest (right); the tick is the middle. Measures that don't apply to a sector (cash-flow yield for banks, debt for financials) are left out.

What would Buffett & Lynch say?

Quantitative approximations of each investor's documented approach, not endorsed by either investor or their estates - commentary, not this site's actual ranking criteria. Buffett never published a numeric checklist: only 2 of his 8 checks here trace to his own documented concepts ("owner earnings," from his 1986 shareholder letter, and "price is what you pay, value is what you get," his case against fixed P/E/P/B ceilings) - the other 6 (ROE, debt, margins, growth, interest coverage) use commonly-cited thresholds that are not numbers he himself published. The 8 hard filters below (plus the Munger check and Graham margin of safety) are this site's real, mechanical screen and are computed completely independently of the checklists above.

Berkshire Hathaway's own filing

Which of the 8 value filters does Exelon pass?

• Market Cap > $25B $46.3B
• Trailing P/E < 25 16.63
• PEG Ratio < 1.5 1.65
• Price/Book < 8 1.56
• Price/Sales < 7 1.83
• EPS Growth YoY > -5% -0.3%
• vs 50-day MA (±12%) Not evaluated †
• vs 200-day MA (±12%) Not evaluated †

What is Exelon's margin of safety?

A standard free-cash-flow DCF doesn't fit how utilities companies report cash flow.

Where is Exelon in its 52-week range?

What is the short interest in Exelon?

33,526,774 shares short as of 2026-09-30 (FINRA settlement date). Reported twice a month, so this only changes roughly every two weeks, not daily.

What could go wrong with Exelon? Munger's inversion check

"Invert, always invert." Instead of reasons to buy, these are reasons to hesitate, not a verdict, and not everything worth knowing about a business.

• Margin of safety, even in the bull case n/a (Utilities)
• Short interest under 5% of float 3.3%
• Passes most of the 6 fundamental filters 5/6 passed

Doesn't cover circle of competence, management quality, or accounting concerns: those need judgment, not data.