Trimble Inc (TRMB) stock analysis
Trimble Inc (TRMB) clears 2 of this site's 8 mechanical value filters, 5 of 8 Buffett-style checks and 2 of 5 Lynch-style checks. At $64.01 it trades 15.0% below this site's neutral DCF value (a margin of safety of +15.0%). Its earnings quality rates Mixed and it returns +4.9% to shareholders net of dilution. Figures are as of October 23, 2026, from SEC filings and market data refreshed weekly; this is educational analysis, not investment advice.
Data as of October 23, 2026. Refreshed weekly from SEC filings and market data.
What does Trimble do?
Trimble sells positioning technology, software and sensors used in construction, agriculture, transportation and surveying.
What stands out about Trimble?
- The share price implies 4.0% yearly growth. At $64.01, TRMB's free cash flow of $4.41 per share would have to grow 4.0% a year, fading to 2.5% by year 10, for this site's DCF (10% discount rate) to match the price. This site's baseline starts at 8%, so the price asks for less growth than the baseline. Change the assumptions.
- Misses 1 of the 8 value filters. It fails Market Cap > $25B ($14.8B); the other 2 pass and 5 were not evaluated. See every filter.
- Strongest against peers: free-cash-flow yield. At 6.9% (peer median 3.8%) it ranks 10th of 44 among technology stocks this site tracks. See the ranking.
- Weakest against peers: net margin. At −1.6% (peer median 16.9%) it ranks 41st of 44 among technology stocks this site tracks. See the ranking.
- Earnings quality: Mixed · 1 flag. Beneish M-score −2.26 · accruals 0.4% of assets · 68% of profit arrived as cash · stock comp 4.1% of revenue · share count −1.5% a year. From the latest 10-K (year to Jan 2026). See the Earnings Quality Screener.
How has Trimble's share price moved?
The interactive price chart needs JavaScript.
Is Trimble undervalued? The value diligence check
Every value-investing signal this site computes for this stock, gathered in one place: the same real numbers from the tools below, not a new score.
- Margin of safety (DCF) +15.0%
- Wall St. analyst rating Buy · 4.30/5 20 analysts this month: 8 strong buy, 10 buy, 2 hold, 0 sell, 0 strong sell (Finnhub). Up from 4.29 last month.
- Altman Z″-Score (bankruptcy risk) 3.47 · Safe zone
- Earnings quality (is the profit real?) Mixed · 1 flag Beneish M-score −2.26 · accruals 0.4% of assets · 68% of profit arrived as cash · stock comp 4.1% of revenue · share count −1.5% a year. From the latest 10-K (year to Jan 2026) - see the Earnings Quality Screener for how each check is scored.
- Shareholder yield (cash back to owners) +4.9% net Latest fiscal year (2026): dividends 0.0% + buybacks 5.8% − stock comp 1.0%, as a share of today's market cap. Over 14 years its split-adjusted share count fell 4%. See Shareholder Yield Leaders.
- Capital needed to grow (See's test) $12.59 per $1 of new profit · Capital-hungry · but only 8% return on capital Operating profit $246M → $501M, capital needed $3.4B → $6.6B, 2017–2026 (3-year averages); return on capital now 8% before tax. Buffett's See's Candies needed $0.42 per $1 of new profit, FlightSafety $3.20, a typical grower about $5. See Capital-Light Compounders.
- PEG (growth at a reasonable price) n/a (no PEG reported)
- Compounder lenses (4) 1 of 4 · misses capital-light, real profit, price (n/a) Capital-light growth: not cleared (only 8% return on capital); Profit is real: not cleared (1 earnings-quality flag); Cash to owners: cleared; Fair price (PEG): cannot be measured (no PEG reported). See Compounders at a Fair Price, which also lets you move the PEG bar.
- Value trap check Clear
- Munger's Inversion Check 0 flags
- Standing vs. sector peers 2 of 5 measures above the median Compared with the 43 other technology stocks this site tracks: 2 in the top third, 3 in the bottom third.
How does Trimble compare with its peers?
2 of 5 measures sit above the median of the 43 other technology stocks tracked here, 2 in the top third and 3 in the bottom third.
- Free-cash-flow yieldhigher is cheaper · peer median 3.8% 6.9% ✓10th of 44
- Return on equityhigher is better · peer median 24% −1% ✕40th of 44
- Net marginhigher is better · peer median 16.9% −1.6% ✕41st of 44
- Revenue growthhigher is better, year on year · peer median 19.1% 7.7% ✕37th of 44
- Debt / equitylower is safer · peer median 0.60 0.29 ✓11th of 44
Peers are the stocks this site tracks in the same sector group, not every listed competitor. The bar runs from the weakest peer (left) to the strongest (right); the tick is the middle. Measures that don't apply to a sector (cash-flow yield for banks, debt for financials) are left out.
What would Buffett & Lynch say?
Buffett's checklist is built around durable, profitable businesses bought at sensible prices, and TRMB doesn't clear enough of it yet. In its favor: TRMB and has kept that profitability up over five years, not just this year, carries a conservative amount of debt relative to equity, earns many times its interest expense, so debt service isn't a worry, is trading below what a conservative discounted-cash-flow estimate says it's worth - his own "price is what you pay, value is what you get" test, not a fixed multiple ceiling, and trades at a reasonable multiple of owner earnings, his own term for the real cash a business could pay out. Where it comes up short: TRMB isn't clearing the return-on-equity bar he'd want to see right now, runs thinner pretax margins than he'd like to see, and hasn't grown earnings per share fast enough over five years to impress him.
- ROE (TTM) > 11% ✕
- ROE (5yr avg) > 11% ✓
- Debt/Equity < 0.5 ✓
- Pretax margin > 15% ✕
- EPS growth (5yr) > 7% ✕
- Interest coverage > 5x ✓
- Trading below intrinsic value (DCF) ✓
- Price vs. owner earnings < 25x ✓
- Bonus: returning capital via buybacks FY2026
Lynch looked for growth stories that weren't overpriced for that growth, and TRMB falls short of his bar. In its favor: TRMB isn't leaning on debt to fund that growth, and is backing its growth up with real free cash flow. Where it comes up short: TRMB fails his signature PEG test, he'd call this pricey for the growth on offer, is growing earnings outside the 10–25% range he considered the sustainable sweet spot, and is asking investors to pay a steep multiple for that growth.
- PEG < 1 n/a
- EPS growth 10%-25% ✕
- Debt/Equity < 0.5 ✓
- P/E < 27 n/a
- Price/FCF < 30 ✓
Quantitative approximations of each investor's documented approach, not endorsed by either investor or their estates - commentary, not this site's actual ranking criteria. Buffett never published a numeric checklist: only 2 of his 8 checks here trace to his own documented concepts ("owner earnings," from his 1986 shareholder letter, and "price is what you pay, value is what you get," his case against fixed P/E/P/B ceilings) - the other 6 (ROE, debt, margins, growth, interest coverage) use commonly-cited thresholds that are not numbers he himself published. The 8 hard filters below (plus the Munger check and Graham margin of safety) are this site's real, mechanical screen and are computed completely independently of the checklists above.
Berkshire Hathaway's own filing
Which of the 8 value filters does Trimble pass?
- Market Cap > $25B $14.8B
- Trailing P/E < 25 n/a
- PEG Ratio < 1.5 n/a
- Price/Book < 8 2.89
- Price/Sales < 7 3.84
- EPS Growth YoY > -5% n/a
- vs 50-day MA (±12%) Not evaluated †
- vs 200-day MA (±12%) Not evaluated †
What is Trimble's margin of safety?
History tracking starts this week - check back in a future week to see how this has moved.
Where is Trimble in its 52-week range?
What is the short interest in Trimble?
9,870,174 shares short as of 2026-09-30 (FINRA settlement date). Reported twice a month, so this only changes roughly every two weeks, not daily.
What could go wrong with Trimble? Munger's inversion check
"Invert, always invert." Instead of reasons to buy, these are reasons to hesitate, not a verdict, and not everything worth knowing about a business.
- Margin of safety, even in the bull case +50%
- Short interest under 5% of float 4.3%
- Passes most of the 6 fundamental filters 5/6 passed
- Price run-up backed by value, not just momentum +31% off 52wk low
- Debt/equity stable since 2017 0.27 → 0.24
Doesn't cover circle of competence, management quality, or accounting concerns: those need judgment, not data.
How much have Trimble shareholders gained per year?
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
An earnings-based proxy, not a stock-price total return - it doesn't capture multiple expansion/contraction or reinvested dividends. EPS from TRMB's own 10-K filings; dividend yield is the current trailing yield on today's price, from the same weekly fetch as the rest of this site.
What do Trimble's 10-year financials show?
From TRMB's own 10-K filings (SEC EDGAR): up to the last 10 fiscal years. Press any year's bars for the exact figures.
Frequently asked questions about Trimble
What kind of company is Trimble?
Trimble sells positioning technology, software and sensors used in construction, agriculture, transportation and surveying. This site groups it with Technology stocks.
Is Trimble trading above or below its DCF value?
At $64.01, TRMB trades 15.0% below this site's neutral DCF value of $75.27 per share, a margin of safety of +15.0%. That DCF projects free cash flow for 10 years, with growth starting at 8% and fading to 2.5%, discounted at 10%; it is one set of assumptions, not a forecast. Test your own in the Intrinsic Value Calculator.
How many of this site's 8 value filters does Trimble pass?
TRMB passes 2 of 8. It passes Price/Book < 8 (2.89) and Price/Sales < 7 (3.84). It misses Market Cap > $25B ($14.8B). Trailing P/E < 25, PEG Ratio < 1.5, EPS Growth YoY > -5%, vs 50-day MA (±12%) and vs 200-day MA (±12%) were not evaluated, because the moving-average checks only run on stocks that clear the fundamentals first. The 8-filter list shows every stock that passes all of them.
What growth is Trimble's share price pricing in?
At $64.01, TRMB's free cash flow of $4.41 per share would have to grow 4.0% a year, fading to 2.5% by year 10, for this site's DCF (10% discount rate) to match the price. This site's baseline starts at 8%, so the price asks for less growth than the baseline. Change the assumptions.
Are Trimble's reported earnings reliable?
This site's earnings-quality check rates TRMB Mixed · 1 flag. Beneish M-score −2.26 · accruals 0.4% of assets · 68% of profit arrived as cash · stock comp 4.1% of revenue · share count −1.5% a year. From the latest 10-K (year to Jan 2026). Concerns: cash conversion (flagged). The five checks are the Beneish M-score (manipulation risk), accruals, cash conversion, stock-based compensation and share dilution; the Earnings Quality Screener shows how each is graded.
When does Trimble report earnings next?
Trimble's next earnings report is expected on November 4, 2026, with analysts expecting earnings of $0.88 per share. Dates come from the Finnhub earnings calendar and can move. In its last 4 quarters it beat the estimate 4 times, by an average of +6.4%.
Where do these numbers come from?
- Financial statements: Trimble's 10-K annual report for the year ended Jan 2, 2026, filed Feb 25, 2026 (filing index). Every earlier year in the 10-year financials comes from the company's older 10-K filings, all listed on SEC EDGAR.
- Prices and market data: quotes, P/E and analyst ratings from Finnhub; daily price history and the 52-week range from Twelve Data, both refreshed weekly. Short interest comes from FINRA, reported twice a month.
- How to check a figure: click any number in the card above to see its exact source, and read the Editorial Standards for every rule behind the checks.
About this Trimble Inc analysis
This page shows every value-investing check the site runs on Trimble Inc (TRMB) in one place: the 8 mechanical filters, the Buffett and Lynch checklists, a margin of safety from a disclosed DCF, earnings quality, shareholder yield and how it ranks against its sector peers. The numbers come from SEC filings and public market data, refreshed weekly, and the same rules apply to every stock on the stock list. See Editorial Standards for the sources and the rules, or run your own filters in the stock screener.