Marvell Technology Inc (MRVL) stock analysis
Marvell Technology Inc (MRVL) clears 2 of this site's 8 mechanical value filters, 4 of 8 Buffett-style checks and 1 of 5 Lynch-style checks. At $223.47 it trades 566.1% above this site's neutral DCF value (a margin of safety of -566.1%). Its earnings quality rates Mixed and it returns +0.8% to shareholders net of dilution. Figures are as of October 23, 2026, from SEC filings and market data refreshed weekly; this is educational analysis, not investment advice.
Data as of October 23, 2026. Refreshed weekly from SEC filings and market data.
What does Marvell do?
Marvell designs chips for data-center networking and storage, custom AI processors for large cloud companies, and chips for telecom networks and cars.
What stands out about Marvell?
- The share price implies more than 40% yearly growth. At $223.47, free cash flow per share would have to grow faster than 40% a year, fading to 2.5% by year 10, for this site's DCF to match the price. Change the assumptions.
- Misses 4 of the 8 value filters. It fails Trailing P/E < 25 (74.23), PEG Ratio < 1.5 (1.66) and Price/Book < 8 (10.57) and 1 more; the other 2 pass and 2 were not evaluated. See every filter.
- The margin of safety is rising. It went from -756% on Oct 7 to -566% on Oct 23 across 5 weekly readings. See the trend.
- Weakest against peers: free-cash-flow yield. At 0.9% (peer median 2.5%) it ranks 20th of 20 among semiconductors stocks this site tracks. See the ranking.
- Earnings quality: Mixed · 1 flag, 1 watch. Beneish M-score −1.60 (above the −1.78 line), mostly from receivables growing faster than sales · accruals 4.3% of assets · >500% of profit arrived as cash · stock comp 7.2% of revenue · share count +0.5% a year. From the latest 10-K (year to Jan 2026). See the Earnings Quality Screener.
How has Marvell's share price moved?
The interactive price chart needs JavaScript.
Is Marvell undervalued? The value diligence check
Every value-investing signal this site computes for this stock, gathered in one place: the same real numbers from the tools below, not a new score.
- Margin of safety (DCF) -566.1%
- Wall St. analyst rating Buy · 4.14/5 51 analysts this month: 13 strong buy, 32 buy, 6 hold, 0 sell, 0 strong sell (Finnhub). Up from 4.12 last month.
- Altman Z″-Score (bankruptcy risk) 3.43 · Safe zone
- Earnings quality (is the profit real?) Mixed · 1 flag, 1 watch Beneish M-score −1.60 (above the −1.78 line), mostly from receivables growing faster than sales · accruals 4.3% of assets · >500% of profit arrived as cash · stock comp 7.2% of revenue · share count +0.5% a year. From the latest 10-K (year to Jan 2026) - see the Earnings Quality Screener for how each check is scored.
- Shareholder yield (cash back to owners) +0.8% net Latest fiscal year (2026): dividends 0.1% + buybacks 1.0% − stock comp 0.3%, as a share of today's market cap. Over 14 years its split-adjusted share count rose 40%. See Shareholder Yield Leaders.
- Capital needed to grow (See's test) Profit did not grow in 10 years Operating profit $201M → $12M, capital needed $4.4B → $16B, 2017–2026 (3-year averages); return on capital now 0% before tax. Buffett's See's Candies needed $0.42 per $1 of new profit, FlightSafety $3.20, a typical grower about $5. Cyclical: the answer depends on where in its cycle the window starts and ends. See Capital-Light Compounders.
- PEG (growth at a reasonable price) 1.66 · Above fair P/E 74.2× ÷ 44.7% a year of growth behind it. 187th lowest of 447 stocks with a usable PEG. Lynch's fair value is a PEG of 1; a very high PEG usually means almost no growth, a very low one a profit spike. See PEG Ratio Ranking.
- Compounder lenses (4) 0 of 4 · misses capital-light, real profit, cash back, price Capital-light growth: not cleared (profit grew 0.1×, under 2×); Profit is real: not cleared (1 earnings-quality flag); Cash to owners: not cleared (+0.3% a year net); Fair price (PEG): not cleared (PEG 1.66, over 1.5). See Compounders at a Fair Price, which also lets you move the PEG bar.
- Value trap check Clear
- Munger's Inversion Check 3 flags
- Standing vs. sector peers 3 of 7 measures above the median Compared with the 19 other semiconductors stocks this site tracks: 0 in the top third, 3 in the bottom third.
- Dividend payout sustainability 0/6 · clean
How does Marvell compare with its peers?
3 of 7 measures sit above the median of the 19 other semiconductors stocks tracked here, 3 in the bottom third.
- P/E ratiolower is cheaper · peer median 42.5× 74.2× ✕16th of 19
- Free-cash-flow yieldhigher is cheaper · peer median 2.5% 0.9% ✕20th of 20
- Return on equityhigher is better · peer median 25% 16% –13th of 20
- Net marginhigher is better · peer median 26.9% 27.9% –10th of 20
- Revenue growthhigher is better, year on year · peer median 23.8% 30.6% –7th of 19
- Debt / equitylower is safer · peer median 0.29 0.27 –9th of 20
- Dividend yieldamong dividend payers · peer median 0.66% 0.11% ✕15th of 16
Peers are the stocks this site tracks in the same sector group, not every listed competitor. The bar runs from the weakest peer (left) to the strongest (right); the tick is the middle. Measures that don't apply to a sector (cash-flow yield for banks, debt for financials) are left out.
What would Buffett & Lynch say?
Buffett's checklist is built around durable, profitable businesses bought at sensible prices, and MRVL doesn't clear enough of it yet. In its favor: MRVL is currently earning a strong return on shareholders' equity, carries a conservative amount of debt relative to equity, converts sales into profit at healthy margins, and earns many times its interest expense, so debt service isn't a worry. Where it comes up short: MRVL and its five-year average return on equity falls short too, so this isn't just a one-off dip, hasn't grown earnings per share fast enough over five years to impress him, is trading above what a conservative discounted-cash-flow estimate says it's worth right now, and trades rich relative to owner earnings, the real cash the business could pay out.
- ROE (TTM) > 11% ✓
- ROE (5yr avg) > 11% ✕
- Debt/Equity < 0.5 ✓
- Pretax margin > 15% ✓
- EPS growth (5yr) > 7% ✕
- Interest coverage > 5x ✓
- Trading below intrinsic value (DCF) ✕
- Price vs. owner earnings < 25x ✕
- Bonus: returning capital via buybacks FY2026
Lynch looked for growth stories that weren't overpriced for that growth, and MRVL falls short of his bar. In its favor: MRVL isn't leaning on debt to fund that growth. Where it comes up short: MRVL fails his signature PEG test, he'd call this pricey for the growth on offer, is growing earnings outside the 10–25% range he considered the sustainable sweet spot, is asking investors to pay a steep multiple for that growth, and isn't generating free cash flow to match the growth story.
- PEG < 1 ✕
- EPS growth 10%-25% ✕
- Debt/Equity < 0.5 ✓
- P/E < 27 ✕
- Price/FCF < 30 ✕
Quantitative approximations of each investor's documented approach, not endorsed by either investor or their estates - commentary, not this site's actual ranking criteria. Buffett never published a numeric checklist: only 2 of his 8 checks here trace to his own documented concepts ("owner earnings," from his 1986 shareholder letter, and "price is what you pay, value is what you get," his case against fixed P/E/P/B ceilings) - the other 6 (ROE, debt, margins, growth, interest coverage) use commonly-cited thresholds that are not numbers he himself published. The 8 hard filters below (plus the Munger check and Graham margin of safety) are this site's real, mechanical screen and are computed completely independently of the checklists above.
Berkshire Hathaway's own filing
Which of the 8 value filters does Marvell pass?
- Market Cap > $25B $196.0B
- Trailing P/E < 25 74.23
- PEG Ratio < 1.5 1.66
- Price/Book < 8 10.57
- Price/Sales < 7 20.74
- EPS Growth YoY > -5% +49.4%
- vs 50-day MA (±12%) Not evaluated †
- vs 200-day MA (±12%) Not evaluated †
What is Marvell's margin of safety?
-756% on 2026-10-07 → -566% on 2026-10-23 (5 weekly readings).
Where is Marvell in its 52-week range?
What is the short interest in Marvell?
24,051,742 shares short as of 2026-09-30 (FINRA settlement date). Reported twice a month, so this only changes roughly every two weeks, not daily.
What could go wrong with Marvell? Munger's inversion check
"Invert, always invert." Instead of reasons to buy, these are reasons to hesitate, not a verdict, and not everything worth knowing about a business.
- Margin of safety, even in the bull case -294%
- Short interest under 5% of float 2.8%
- Passes most of the 6 fundamental filters 2/6 passed
- Price run-up backed by value, not just momentum +201% off 52wk low
- Debt/equity stable since 2018 0.00 → 0.28
Doesn't cover circle of competence, management quality, or accounting concerns: those need judgment, not data.
How much have Marvell shareholders gained per year?
Not enough clean earnings history to compute this for MRVL yet - a loss year in the window breaks the growth math rather than faking a number through it.
An earnings-based proxy, not a stock-price total return - it doesn't capture multiple expansion/contraction or reinvested dividends. EPS from MRVL's own 10-K filings; dividend yield is the current trailing yield on today's price, from the same weekly fetch as the rest of this site.
What do Marvell's 10-year financials show?
From MRVL's own 10-K filings (SEC EDGAR): up to the last 10 fiscal years. Press any year's bars for the exact figures.
Frequently asked questions about Marvell
What kind of company is Marvell?
Marvell designs chips for data-center networking and storage, custom AI processors for large cloud companies, and chips for telecom networks and cars. This site groups it with Semiconductors stocks.
Is Marvell trading above or below its DCF value?
At $223.47, MRVL trades 566.1% above this site's neutral DCF value of $33.55 per share, a margin of safety of −566.1%. That DCF projects free cash flow for 10 years, with growth starting at 8% and fading to 2.5%, discounted at 10%; it is one set of assumptions, not a forecast. Test your own in the Intrinsic Value Calculator.
How many of this site's 8 value filters does Marvell pass?
MRVL passes 2 of 8. It passes Market Cap > $25B ($196.0B) and EPS Growth YoY > -5% (+49.4%). It misses Trailing P/E < 25 (74.23), PEG Ratio < 1.5 (1.66), Price/Book < 8 (10.57) and Price/Sales < 7 (20.74). vs 50-day MA (±12%) and vs 200-day MA (±12%) were not evaluated, because the moving-average checks only run on stocks that clear the fundamentals first. The 8-filter list shows every stock that passes all of them.
Are Marvell's reported earnings reliable?
This site's earnings-quality check rates MRVL Mixed · 1 flag, 1 watch. Beneish M-score −1.60 (above the −1.78 line), mostly from receivables growing faster than sales · accruals 4.3% of assets · >500% of profit arrived as cash · stock comp 7.2% of revenue · share count +0.5% a year. From the latest 10-K (year to Jan 2026). Concerns: the Beneish M-score (flagged) and stock-based compensation (on watch). The five checks are the Beneish M-score (manipulation risk), accruals, cash conversion, stock-based compensation and share dilution; the Earnings Quality Screener shows how each is graded.
How fast has Marvell grown its revenue and profit?
From fiscal 2017 to fiscal 2026, MRVL's revenue grew from $2.3 billion to $8.2 billion, 15.2% a year. Net income went from $21.0 million to $2.7 billion, and its net profit margin from 0.9% to 32.6%. Earnings per share went from $0.04 to $3.07 on today's share count, 62.0% a year. In fiscal 2026 it produced $1.4 billion of free cash flow (cash from operations minus capital spending), 17.0% of its revenue. All figures are from MRVL's own 10-K filings (SEC EDGAR) and are shown year by year in the 10-Year Financials section of the card above.
Does Marvell raise any of Munger's inversion flags?
MRVL fails 3 of the 5 tests in this site's Munger-style inversion check, so it raises 3 flags: Margin of safety, even in the bull case (-294%); Passes most of the 6 fundamental filters (2/6 passed); and Price run-up backed by value, not just momentum (+201% off 52wk low). It passes Short interest under 5% of float and Debt/equity stable since 2018. Munger's habit was to invert the question and look for reasons to hesitate. These flags are data-driven prompts, not a verdict, and they cannot judge management, competitive position or accounting risk.
Where do these numbers come from?
- Financial statements: Marvell's 10-K annual report for the year ended Jan 31, 2026, filed Mar 11, 2026 (filing index). Every earlier year in the 10-year financials comes from the company's older 10-K filings, all listed on SEC EDGAR.
- Prices and market data: quotes, P/E and analyst ratings from Finnhub; daily price history and the 52-week range from Twelve Data, both refreshed weekly. Short interest comes from FINRA, reported twice a month.
- How to check a figure: click any number in the card above to see its exact source, and read the Editorial Standards for every rule behind the checks.
About this Marvell Technology Inc analysis
This page shows every value-investing check the site runs on Marvell Technology Inc (MRVL) in one place: the 8 mechanical filters, the Buffett and Lynch checklists, a margin of safety from a disclosed DCF, earnings quality, shareholder yield and how it ranks against its sector peers. The numbers come from SEC filings and public market data, refreshed weekly, and the same rules apply to every stock on the stock list. See Editorial Standards for the sources and the rules, or run your own filters in the stock screener.