Fox Corp (FOXA) stock analysis
Fox Corp (FOXA) clears 5 of this site's 8 mechanical value filters, 4 of 8 Buffett-style checks and 3 of 5 Lynch-style checks. At $68.27 it trades 36.6% below this site's neutral DCF value (a margin of safety of +36.6%). Its earnings quality rates Strong and it returns +8.0% to shareholders net of dilution. Figures are as of October 23, 2026, from SEC filings and market data refreshed weekly; this is educational analysis, not investment advice.
Data as of October 23, 2026. Refreshed weekly from SEC filings and market data.
What does Fox do?
Fox Corporation owns the Fox News and Fox Sports channels, the Fox broadcast network and local TV stations, and the Tubi streaming service.
Brands and businesses it owns
- Fox News
- Fox Sports
- Fox Network
- Tubi
- Fox Business
What stands out about Fox?
- The share price implies shrinking cash flow. At $68.27, FOXA's free cash flow of $6.31 per share would have to shrink 3.1% a year at first, then recover to 2.5% growth by year 10, for this site's DCF (10% discount rate) to match the price. This site's baseline starts at 8% growth, so the price asks for less growth than the baseline. Change the assumptions.
- Misses 1 of the 8 value filters. It fails PEG Ratio < 1.5 (3.42); the other 5 pass and 2 were not evaluated. See every filter.
- Strongest against peers: P/E ratio. At 16.0× (peer median 26.1×) it ranks 2nd of 11 among media stocks this site tracks. See the ranking.
- Weakest against peers: revenue growth. At 5.1% (peer median 10.8%) it ranks 9th of 13 among media stocks this site tracks. See the ranking.
- Short interest is elevated. 24.3% of the float is sold short, 9.5 days to cover, above this site's 5% flag. See the figures.
How has Fox's share price moved?
The interactive price chart needs JavaScript.
Is Fox undervalued? The value diligence check
Every value-investing signal this site computes for this stock, gathered in one place: the same real numbers from the tools below, not a new score.
- Margin of safety (DCF) +36.6%
- P/E vs. its own history 16.0x · at/above its priciest point Real range: 11.0x–15.2x over 5 years (net income per diluted share from each fiscal year's 10-K, paired with the real closing price at that fiscal year-end).
- Wall St. analyst rating Buy · 3.75/5 28 analysts this month: 5 strong buy, 12 buy, 10 hold, 1 sell, 0 strong sell (Finnhub). Up from 3.74 last month.
- Earnings quality (is the profit real?) Strong · 1 watch Beneish M-score −2.20 (grey zone), mostly from receivables growing faster than sales · accruals −1.1% of assets · 128% of profit arrived as cash · stock comp 0.8% of revenue · share count −4.4% a year. From the latest 10-K (year to Jun 2026) - see the Earnings Quality Screener for how each check is scored.
- Shareholder yield (cash back to owners) +8.0% net Latest fiscal year (2026): dividends 1.1% + buybacks 7.4% − stock comp 0.5%, as a share of today's market cap. Over 9 years its split-adjusted share count fell 29%. See Shareholder Yield Leaders.
- Capital needed to grow (See's test) $4.72 per $1 of new profit · Capital-hungry · but only 21% return on capital Operating profit $2.3B → $2.9B, capital needed $11B → $14B, 2017–2026 (3-year averages); return on capital now 21% before tax. Buffett's See's Candies needed $0.42 per $1 of new profit, FlightSafety $3.20, a typical grower about $5. See Capital-Light Compounders.
- PEG (growth at a reasonable price) 3.42 · Well above fair P/E 16.0× ÷ 4.7% a year of growth behind it. 361st lowest of 447 stocks with a usable PEG. Lynch's fair value is a PEG of 1; a very high PEG usually means almost no growth, a very low one a profit spike. See PEG Ratio Ranking.
- Compounder lenses (4) 2 of 4 · misses capital-light, price Capital-light growth: not cleared (profit grew 1.3×, under 2×); Profit is real: cleared; Cash to owners: cleared; Fair price (PEG): not cleared (PEG 3.42, over 1.5). See Compounders at a Fair Price, which also lets you move the PEG bar.
- Value trap check Clear
- Munger's Inversion Check 1 flag
- Standing vs. sector peers 3 of 7 measures above the median Compared with the 12 other media stocks this site tracks: 2 in the top third, 0 in the bottom third.
- Dividend payout sustainability 0/6 · clean
How does Fox compare with its peers?
3 of 7 measures sit above the median of the 12 other media stocks tracked here, 2 in the top third.
- P/E ratiolower is cheaper · peer median 26.1× 16.0× ✓2nd of 11
- Free-cash-flow yieldhigher is cheaper · peer median 4.8% 9.2% ✓3rd of 13
- Return on equityhigher is better · peer median 15% 15% –7th of 13
- Net marginhigher is better · peer median 8.7% 9.8% –5th of 13
- Revenue growthhigher is better, year on year · peer median 10.8% 5.1% –9th of 13
- Debt / equitylower is safer · peer median 0.57 0.57 –7th of 13
- Dividend yieldamong dividend payers · peer median 1.06% 1.06% –4th of 7
Peers are the stocks this site tracks in the same sector group, not every listed competitor. The bar runs from the weakest peer (left) to the strongest (right); the tick is the middle. Measures that don't apply to a sector (cash-flow yield for banks, debt for financials) are left out.
What would Buffett & Lynch say?
Buffett's checklist is built around durable, profitable businesses bought at sensible prices, and FOXA doesn't clear enough of it yet. In its favor: FOXA is currently earning a strong return on shareholders' equity, and has kept that profitability up over five years, not just this year, is trading below what a conservative discounted-cash-flow estimate says it's worth - his own "price is what you pay, value is what you get" test, not a fixed multiple ceiling, and trades at a reasonable multiple of owner earnings, his own term for the real cash a business could pay out. Where it comes up short: FOXA carries more debt relative to equity than he typically tolerates, runs thinner pretax margins than he'd like to see, hasn't grown earnings per share fast enough over five years to impress him, and doesn't cover its interest expense as comfortably as he'd want.
- ROE (TTM) > 11% ✓
- ROE (5yr avg) > 11% ✓
- Debt/Equity < 0.5 ✕
- Pretax margin > 15% ✕
- EPS growth (5yr) > 7% ✕
- Interest coverage > 5x ✕
- Trading below intrinsic value (DCF) ✓
- Price vs. owner earnings < 25x ✓
- Bonus: returning capital via buybacks FY2026
Lynch looked for growth stories that weren't overpriced for that growth, and FOXA falls short of his bar. In its favor: FOXA isn't over-leveraged for a company of its type, is cheap enough for a business with limited growth ahead of it, and converts earnings into real cash at a reasonable price. Where it comes up short: FOXA doesn't pay much of a dividend, which is the main reason to own a slow grower in the first place, and isn't even growing at the modest pace he'd expect from a slow grower.
- Dividend yield > 2.5% ✕
- EPS growth 0%-10% ✕
- Debt/Equity < 0.6 ✓
- P/E < 20 ✓
- Price/FCF < 25 ✓
Quantitative approximations of each investor's documented approach, not endorsed by either investor or their estates - commentary, not this site's actual ranking criteria. Buffett never published a numeric checklist: only 2 of his 8 checks here trace to his own documented concepts ("owner earnings," from his 1986 shareholder letter, and "price is what you pay, value is what you get," his case against fixed P/E/P/B ceilings) - the other 6 (ROE, debt, margins, growth, interest coverage) use commonly-cited thresholds that are not numbers he himself published. The 8 hard filters below (plus the Munger check and Graham margin of safety) are this site's real, mechanical screen and are computed completely independently of the checklists above.
Berkshire Hathaway's own filing
Which of the 8 value filters does Fox pass?
- Market Cap > $25B $27.0B
- Trailing P/E < 25 16.02
- PEG Ratio < 1.5 3.42
- Price/Book < 8 2.32
- Price/Sales < 7 1.58
- EPS Growth YoY > -5% +3.4%
- vs 50-day MA (±12%) Not evaluated †
- vs 200-day MA (±12%) Not evaluated †
What is Fox's margin of safety?
History tracking starts this week - check back in a future week to see how this has moved.
Where is Fox in its 52-week range?
What is the short interest in Fox?
48,179,323 shares short as of 2026-09-30 (FINRA settlement date). Reported twice a month, so this only changes roughly every two weeks, not daily.
What could go wrong with Fox? Munger's inversion check
"Invert, always invert." Instead of reasons to buy, these are reasons to hesitate, not a verdict, and not everything worth knowing about a business.
- Margin of safety, even in the bull case +63%
- Short interest under 5% of float 24.3%
- Passes most of the 6 fundamental filters 5/6 passed
- Price run-up backed by value, not just momentum +39% off 52wk low
- Debt/equity stable since 2018 0.00 → 0.56
Doesn't cover circle of competence, management quality, or accounting concerns: those need judgment, not data.
How much have Fox shareholders gained per year?
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
An earnings-based proxy, not a stock-price total return - it doesn't capture multiple expansion/contraction or reinvested dividends. EPS from FOXA's own 10-K filings; dividend yield is the current trailing yield on today's price, from the same weekly fetch as the rest of this site.
What do Fox's 10-year financials show?
From FOXA's own 10-K filings (SEC EDGAR): up to the last 10 fiscal years. Press any year's bars for the exact figures.
Frequently asked questions about Fox
What kind of company is Fox?
Fox Corporation owns the Fox News and Fox Sports channels, the Fox broadcast network and local TV stations, and the Tubi streaming service. Brands and businesses it owns include Fox News, Fox Sports, Fox Network, Tubi and Fox Business. This site groups it with Media stocks.
Is Fox trading above or below its DCF value?
At $68.27, FOXA trades 36.6% below this site's neutral DCF value of $107.67 per share, a margin of safety of +36.6%. That DCF projects free cash flow for 10 years, with growth starting at 8% and fading to 2.5%, discounted at 10%; it is one set of assumptions, not a forecast. Test your own in the Intrinsic Value Calculator.
How many of this site's 8 value filters does Fox pass?
FOXA passes 5 of 8. It passes Market Cap > $25B ($27.0B), Trailing P/E < 25 (16.02), Price/Book < 8 (2.32), Price/Sales < 7 (1.58) and EPS Growth YoY > -5% (+3.4%). It misses PEG Ratio < 1.5 (3.42). vs 50-day MA (±12%) and vs 200-day MA (±12%) were not evaluated, because the moving-average checks only run on stocks that clear the fundamentals first. The 8-filter list shows every stock that passes all of them.
Are Fox's reported earnings reliable?
This site's earnings-quality check rates FOXA Strong · 1 watch. Beneish M-score −2.20 (grey zone), mostly from receivables growing faster than sales · accruals −1.1% of assets · 128% of profit arrived as cash · stock comp 0.8% of revenue · share count −4.4% a year. From the latest 10-K (year to Jun 2026). Concerns: the Beneish M-score (on watch). The five checks are the Beneish M-score (manipulation risk), accruals, cash conversion, stock-based compensation and share dilution; the Earnings Quality Screener shows how each is graded.
When does Fox report earnings next?
Fox's next earnings report is expected on November 2, 2026, with analysts expecting earnings of $2.13 per share. Dates come from the Finnhub earnings calendar and can move. In its last 4 quarters it beat the estimate 4 times, by an average of +28.6%.
How heavily is Fox stock sold short?
As of September 30, 2026, 24.3% of FOXA's float was sold short (48,179,323 shares, 9.5 days to cover), up 6.7% from the prior reporting period. FINRA publishes short interest twice a month, so it changes about every two weeks; this site flags anything above 5% of the float.
Where do these numbers come from?
- Financial statements: Fox's 10-K annual report for the year ended Jun 30, 2026, filed Aug 6, 2026 (filing index). Every earlier year in the 10-year financials comes from the company's older 10-K filings, all listed on SEC EDGAR.
- Prices and market data: quotes, P/E and analyst ratings from Finnhub; daily price history and the 52-week range from Twelve Data, both refreshed weekly. Short interest comes from FINRA, reported twice a month.
- How to check a figure: click any number in the card above to see its exact source, and read the Editorial Standards for every rule behind the checks.
About this Fox Corp analysis
This page shows every value-investing check the site runs on Fox Corp (FOXA) in one place: the 8 mechanical filters, the Buffett and Lynch checklists, a margin of safety from a disclosed DCF, earnings quality, shareholder yield and how it ranks against its sector peers. The numbers come from SEC filings and public market data, refreshed weekly, and the same rules apply to every stock on the stock list. See Editorial Standards for the sources and the rules, or run your own filters in the stock screener.